![]() Donald Trump doubtful he'd have a good working relationship with British PM.Unique set of problems dog Donald Trump's campaign.This time, the gap between the two candidates had widened again to four points, a more conventional margin. The next day, Reuters/Ipsos was back in the field with their five-day rolling poll. Headlines blared that the race for the White House was a toss-up. The gap between the two candidates had dropped to just one point. Last week, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump had drawn almost even in a general election match-up. Last year in Mississippi, the winner of a seat in the state Legislature was determined by drawing straws.īrett Neely also contributed to this report. According to the National Council of State Legislatures, Wyoming uses coin tosses to break ties. Again, as Taylor reports, seemingly unusual tiebreak methods are not new in politics. It's pretty unlikely, but not impossible. A Clinton supporter correctly called 'heads' on a quarter flipped in the air, and Clinton received a fifth delegate." "Party officials recommended they settle the dispute with a coin toss. "Unable to account for that numerical discrepancy and the orphan delegate it produced, the Sanders campaign challenged the results and precinct leaders called a Democratic Party hot line set up to advise on such situations. But one remained unassigned based on the initial count: What was that about 60 missing caucusgoers and a coin flip?Īs NPR's Jessica Taylor reports, the Des Moines Register explained how a tie happened at one precinct: After 60 registered caucusgoers were missing since the initial tally, and O'Malley's supporters had been redistributed, Clinton was assigned four delegates and Sanders got three. It was the closest result in 40 years of the Iowa Democratic caucus. Clinton and Sanders were separated by a razor-thin 0.3 percentage point, or four "state delegate equivalents" - 701 for Clinton, 697 for Sanders and eight for Martin O'Malley. It's pretty rare in a normal race, but this was no normal race. What happens to the final delegate? The caucuses revert to, you guessed, it, a coin toss. The result: Clinton and Sanders get two delegates apiece. There are 30 people for Clinton and 30 people for Sanders - and no one on either side can be swayed. Yes, Iowa - and it's not alone - uses coin tosses to break ties in precincts that award an odd number of delegates.įor example: Let's say five delegates are set to be awarded in Precinct 1. That means, for Clinton to have picked up the four delegates, she would have had to have won not six in a row, but more like 47. when those coin tosses are happening, they are elected delegates in that larger universe. Those are ESTIMATES of how many of those 11,065 will attend the congressional district and state conventions. What IS reported, what Clinton's 49.9 to 49.6 percent tracing-paper-thin lead is based on, is "state delegate equivalents."Ħ. And here's the root of what's causing all the confusion: The breakdown of those 11,065 is not reported on caucus night.ĥ. That universe of 11,065 delegates is whittled down to 1,406 who will attend congressional district (April 30) and state conventions (June 18).Ĥ. Those precinct caucuses elected 11,065 delegates to the county conventions, which take place March 12.ģ. There were 1,683 precinct caucuses on Iowa caucus night.Ģ. Iowa has a multistep process for picking delegates. That's because in Iowa, it's a delegate game. And no raw vote was - or is ever - broken out by candidate and recorded at the Democratic caucuses. Let's step back and explain that for a second and this is tricky, so stay with us.įirst, understand that the state party reported a grand total of 171,508 caucusgoers, the second-highest turnout in Iowa caucus history behind 2008.
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